The Jerome News and Copper Belt, 1912-11-02

(Arizona Democrat, Phoenix,) There are several people around the Democrat office who believe that they know just aboflt what is going on in Arizona politics, and these wiseacres today got together and figured out the result of the coming presidential election, as far as this State is concerned. Here is the result: To begin with, all figures are based on the estimated vote of 26,000 which according to the present registration, seems to be about right. Here is the line-up of the five presidential candidates: Governor Wilson 13,120 Colonel Roosevelt 7,800 President Taft 3,080 Eugene V. Debs 1,500 E. W. Chafin. 500 Now, before any one gets a chance to pull the trigger, here goes for an explanation of how the above results were figured out: Of 26,000 votes, it was estimated that the normal democratic vote would be 13,000, which, in the light of past events, seems about cor correct. - rect. correct. However, the democratic dopesters are of the opinion that out of this vote Colonel Roosevelt would secure in the neighborhood of 5 per cent - no more. This gives the third termer 650 democratic votes as a starter. The next thing for consideration was the defection of democratic votes to President Taft, which will amount to exactly one big cipher - meaning nothing. The dope«ters next figured out that from past elections, the normal republican vote this year should total about 11,000. Of this amount it is estimated that Roosevelt will se secure - cure secure about 65 per cent, or 7,150. This, added to the 650 democratic votes he should receive, gives the third termer a tot lof 7,800. De Deducting - ducting Deducting Roosevelt's vote, the republican strength remaining is 3,850. These votes, the dopesters figured, would be divided 80 per cent for Taft and 20 per cent for Wilson. This gives Taft a total vote of 3,080 and givet. Wilson a republican strength of 770, which, added to his democratic vote - less those that go to Roosevelt - gives the democratic candid te a total vote of 13,120, These total give Governor Wilson 240 more votes than Roosevelt, Taft,. Debs and Chafin combined, and a total of 5,320 more than Roosevelt, who runs second. The Democrat has investigated political conditions in every part of the State, and not in a single county - with the possible exception of Cochise - can there be found any evidence of Roosevelt securing demo democratic - cratic democratic votes. Therefore it is believed that in allowing the third termer 5 per cent of the democratic votes, a most liberal allowance has been made. On t< e other hand, it is very probable that Wilson will secure 80 per cent instead of 20, of the republican vote shat does not go to Roosevelt. The above figures are based on information received by this paper from every nook and corner of Arizona, and the Democrat believes this guess to be as correct as any pre-election forecast can be. How However, - ever, However, this paper uould like to receive the ideas of the people generally ,on the subject. Make out your forecast and send it in to the Demo Democrat - crat Democrat News Department. The more the merrier!

Stratas of Formation Are Encoun Encountered - tered Encountered that Increase Flow at Well of the Jerome Oil Company. Oil excitement in the Jerome country is running that of mining' an exceedingly close race, and there are several good reasons for this. First, the prospects for striking pay oil in the well now being sunk by the Jerome Oil Company (not the Jerome-Verde Oil Com Company. - pany. Company. as the Jernal-Miner insists) are exceedingly bright, and are growing brighter as depth is attained by this well. Second, if the Jerome Oil Company is successful in striking oil it means a distribution of wealth throughout the community more general than has ever been known in successful mining, because of the fact that this company's stock has been more generally sub subscribed - scribed subscribed for bv the citizens ot Jerome and the surrounding country, than that of any other similar company in any community. This company was organized in December. 1911, by local peo people - ple people exclusively. The promoters, or organizers, were allowed no promotion stock, and not one or them owns personally a share of stock which was not paid for in cash or its equivalent in actual ser servi«e, - vi«e, servi«e, The outside promoter has not got his hand in the pie.. The company has and will continue to run its business on the principal that all who are interested will continue on an equal tooting, with special privileges to none. To prove their honesty in this mat matter, - ter, matter, the company has, within the past ten days, turned down offers from two successful promoters. One of whom would have guaran guaranteed - teed guaranteed to raise a development fund of $30,000, and the other a fund of >50,000. This money was to be placed in the treasury within twenty days. As to the first claim, that the prospects for striking oil in the well now being sunk bv the Jerome Oil Company are exceedingly bright. The News does not put forth this claim on confidence built through personal observation, although we have been to the well and witnessed the flow. Nor do we make the claim alone through what responsible local people who have visited the well tell us. We only make the claim alter having closely interviewing men who we know to have had vearsof experience in oil fields throughout the United States, and whom we know are honest in their conclusions. Men who repeat abroad what thev give out while tn Jerome. We quote from the Prescott Journal Miner of October 27:

The P.-J., J.-V., Haynes, and U.V. Extension Are All Preparing For Extensive Development. There is an abundance of good news in the air regard regarding - ing regarding the opening of operations on a number of the many promising prospects in the Jerome district. In three cases The News has chased down these rumors and found them to be tiue. The report that the Pittsburg-Jerome Mining Company would resume operations on its property southwest of the Town of Jerome, was substantiated the first of this week when a large burro train, consisting of 19 animals, went to the property loaded with all kinds or supplies. The princi principal - pal principal work at present will be in the main tunnel, which is now in several hundred feet. This tunnel will crosscut the for formation, - mation, formation, in which there is better than an even chance to ex expose - pose expose pay ore bodies. That the Haynes Copper Company would resume de development - velopment development before the 15th of November, was also substan substantiated - tiated substantiated by the knowledge that this company had contracted for power from the Arizona Power Company, the use of which is to start before that date. The Haynes is northwest of the United Verde and west of the Arkansas & Arizona. At the Jerome-Verde, all has been made ready for the reception of the new hoist at that mine, and the contract for power from the Arizona Power Company has been signed. When the new machinery will arrive cannot vet be stated. That the first part of the present month will see things moving on the United Verde Extension is now an assured fact. This information comes from a reliable source. With these properties moving the Jerome district will enjoy her old-time prosperity.

of my votes on the important bills that were passed by the House of Represent!ves after the people of Arizona sent me to Washington. "1. have voted in favor of re- ; ducing the tariff on chemicals, manufactures of cotton, wool and manufactures of wool. I voted to I pass the Wool and Metal bills over the veto of the President. I voted for Free Sugar and the Excise Tax on Incomes. These measures were designed to reduce the extor extortionate - tionate extortionate and unjust rates of the Payne-Aldrich law, and would have resulted in a saving of four hundred million dollars annually to the American consumers with no loss to the Treasury and no in injury - jury injury to any legitimate industry. "Mv votes are of record in be- Because of the unprecedented situa situation - tion situation in California and the unknown woman vote, it is impossible to fore forecast - cast forecast the results here, but it is gener generally - ally generally considered that Wilson will carry the State by a safe plurality. Necessary to elect, 266. Wilson's majority, 361. Note - The figures herewith pre presented - sented presented do not in any case include prospective Socialist and Prohibition votes, which, in all probability, will run more than 1,000,000 in the ag aggregate. - gregate. aggregate.

half of the following bills for the benefit of American labor: To crekte a Department of Labor with Secretary in the Cabinet; the Anti- Injunction bill, to protect work workingmen - ingmen workingmen during labor disputes; the bill proving for jury trials in cases of indirect contempt of court; the Childrens' Bureau bill; the Indus Industrial - trial Industrial Commission bill; the bill to regulate the interstate shipment of convict-made goods; the bill to prohibit the manufacture of pois poisonous - onous poisonous white phosph rus matches; the eight-hour provirious in the Postoftice and Naval Appropriation bills. "I voted for tbc bdl ing bills of general interest: Au amendment to the Constitution, providing for the election of Senators by a direct vote of the people; a bill providing for publicity of campaign contri contributions - butions contributions by candidates for Presi President; - dent; President; the three-year homestead law; a bill providing for patents for homesteads under reclamation projects; for the free passage of American ships through the Pan Panama - ama Panama Canal; for an investigation of the Money Trust; for a general parcels post; and for the abolition of the Commerce Court, "I voted to. impeach Judge

Following is the New York Amer American's - ican's American's forecast of the total vote for the Presidential candidates in each State, which indicates that Wilson will have a popular plurality of about 2,217,000, with at least 450 electoral votes: - Electoral Vote - States - Tot. Wil. Rvt. Taft Alabama 12 12 Arizona 3 3 Arkansas ..._ 9 9 ^California. 13 13 Colorado - 6 6 Connecticut 7 7 Delaware' 3 3 Florida - 6 6 Georgia ...._ 14 14 Idaho 4 4 Illinois 29 29 Indiana- 15 15 lowa - 13 13 Kansas...... 10 10 Kentucky... 13 13 Louisiana - 10 10 Maine 6 6 Maryland 8 8 Massachusetts. 18 18 Michigan 15 15 Minnesota 12 12 Mississippi. 10 10 Missouri 18 18 Montana 4 4 Nebraska 8 8 Nevada 3 3 New Hampshire 4 4 New Jersey 14 14 New Mexico ... 3 3 New York 45 45 North Carolina 12 12 North Dakota . 5 5 Ohio 24 24 Oklahoma 10 10 10 Oregon.. - . 5 5 Pennsylvania 38 38 Rhode Island 5 5 South Carolinaa 9 9 * South Dakota 5 5 Tennessee 12 12 Texas .20 20 Utah. 4 4 Vermont,... 4 4 Virginia 12 12 Washington 7 7 West Virginia...., 8 8 Wisconsin 13 13 Wyoming 3 3 Totals 531 446 50 22 *No Taft electors on the ballot.

feels this same dependence and confidence in YOU, I take the liberty of calling your attention to a line of attack on us that is being used by the Republicans, and which I urge you to guard against and to count counteract - eract counteract in your district. They are raising the false and wholly un unfounded - founded unfounded charge that Democratic success will mean business de depression. - pression. depression. To show you one way in which they are attempting this line of fooling the voters, I quote a few sentences from a letter re recently - cently recently gotten out from their Chi Chicago - cago Chicago headquarters, which they are now sending the business firms: "The campaign now in pro progress - gress progress has a direct personal in interest - terest interest for you. Upon its result depends the maintenance of the present business prosperity which the country is enjoy enjoying. - ing. enjoying. Why sacrifice present prosperity for uncertainty and depression, which a tariff for revenue only would certainly bring.''

My Dear Democratic Friend and Co-worker: The success of the Democratic ticket on November 5 is dependent wholly upon the activities of you loyal working Democrats. And we are depending upon YOU with absolute confidence. I know that the responsibilities are heavy but I know further that the results will justify this confidence which we place in you. The way to attain the most effective results is to have each voting district so thor thoroughly - oughly thoroughly organized that every Dem Democratic - ocratic Democratic voter will be brought to the polls on election day and will vote the DEMOCRATIC ticket. When elections are lost to the Demo Democrats, - crats, Democrats, it is generally because the Democratic vote has not been brought out. Will you SURELY see to it that all your Democrats vote this year? Senator Gore, who is Chairman of the Organization Bureau of the National Committee, is delighted and enthusiastic about the way he real Democratic workers are getting into the harness, and he