Uncertain, Texas
15 topographic sheets cover this place, the earliest surveyed in 1944 and the latest in 1986. It stands in the Waskom census division. It lies in ZIP code area 75661. It lies near Taylor Island. The Survey maps it on the Potters Point quadrangle. 85 people lived here at the 2020 count. It stands 180 feet above sea level.
Population over time
3 figuresUncertain fell from 150 to 85 between 2000 and 2020. These are the recorded population figures Wikidata holds for this place, reached through the Geographic Names Information System number this page is keyed on rather than by name, so they belong to this place and not to another of the same name. Most are census counts, but not all are: an early figure may be a founding or settlement estimate, and an estimate published within five years of a census is left out. The change column is computed, and is left blank where more than 20 years separate a figure from the one before it, because a gap that long is not a change between two counts.
| Year | People | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 150 | |
| 2010 | 94 | -56 (-37%) |
| 2020 | 85 | -9 (-10%) |
Topographic sheets covering this place
6 surveys from 15 printed sheetsMatched by testing this settlement's coordinate against the published boundary of every sheet in the United States Geological Survey's historical collection. Each opens the scanned sheet at the Survey.
- 1944 USGS Caddo Lake quadrangle1:62500
- 1946 USGS Caddo Lake quadrangle1:62500
- 1956 USGS Tyler quadrangle1:250000, 5 printings
- 1962 USGS Potters Point quadrangle1:24000, 3 printings
- 1984 USGS Tyler quadrangle1:250000, 3 printings
- 1986 USGS Marshall quadrangle1:100000, 2 printings
Fires near this place
117 since 1993Regional context, not property-specific evidence. The federal wildfire occurrence database lists 117 fires within 5 miles of Uncertain between 1993 and 2020, burning about 744 acres in total. 14 started naturally. 8 were recorded as arson. Distance is straight-line from the map coordinates, so a fire counted here may appear on a neighbouring settlement's page as well.
| Reported cause | Fires |
|---|---|
| Debris and open burning | 45 |
| Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 29 |
| Natural | 14 |
| Arson/incendiarism | 8 |
| Power generation/transmission/distribution | 6 |
| Equipment and vehicle use | 6 |
| Railroad operations and maintenance | 3 |
| Recreation and ceremony | 3 |
| Smoking | 2 |
| Fireworks | 1 |
The most recent of them, most recent first, with the day each was reported and the service that recorded it.
| Date | Cause | Size | Reported by | Name on the report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 September 2011 | Debris and open burning | 2.0 acres | Texas A & M Forest Service | LINDEN - 564 |
| 5 September 1998 | Arson/incendiarism | 5.0 acres | Texas A & M Forest Service | not named |
| 4 September 2011 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | under an acre | Texas A & M Forest Service | SCOTT HARDY |
| 27 September 1999 | Railroad operations and maintenance | 2.0 acres | Texas A & M Forest Service | not named |
| 22 September 1997 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 1.0 acres | Texas A & M Forest Service | not named |
| 16 September 2013 | Fireworks | 1.0 acres | Texas A & M Forest Service | 6329 |
| 12 September 2015 | Equipment and vehicle use | 1.0 acres | Texas A & M Forest Service | SHARON DEWS |
| 11 September 2014 | Natural | under an acre | Caddo Lake National Wildlife Refuge | WF AVE Q TOO |
Settlements close enough to share some of these fires:
Storms near this place
8 since 1993Regional context, not property-specific evidence. The National Weather Service names Uncertain in 8 storm reports between 1993 and 2014: 4 hail, 4 thunderstorm wind. No death or injury is recorded in these reports. Each account below is quoted exactly as the forecast office filed it, from the NOAA Storm Events Database, and each date opens the federal record of that event.
| When | Event | Place named | Harm | What the report says |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2014 | Thunderstorm Wind | Uncertain | - | Powerlines were downed west of Mooringsport, Louisiana in Harrison County, Texas. |
| November 2011 | Thunderstorm Wind | Uncertain | - | A tree was downed off of FM. 2198 near Uncertain, Texas. |
| July 2009 | Thunderstorm Wind | Uncertain | - | Trees were downed near the edge of Caddo Lake. |
| September 2006 | Thunderstorm Wind | Uncertain | - | Trees and powerlines downed. |
| May 1998 | Hail | Uncertain | - | Reported at Caddo Lake State Park. |
| May 1993 | Hail | Uncertain | - | Hail fell at Caddo State Park. |
| May 2014 | Hail | Uncertain | - | no account filed |
| October 1996 | Hail | Uncertain | - | no account filed |
Nearest settlements
The eight closest, with where each one stands in the county. Distances are straight-line, computed from the Geographic Names Information System coordinates.
| Map | Place | Distance | Sheets |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Shore | 3.5 miles | 15 | |
| Karnack | 4.0 miles | 14 | |
| Swansons Landing | 4.3 miles | 15 | |
| Baldwin | 6.0 miles | 14 | |
| Leigh | 7.4 miles | 14 | |
| Latex | 8.5 miles | 15 | |
| Lotta | 9.3 miles | 15 | |
| Pope City | 10.0 miles | 13 |
Elsewhere
Matched on this settlement's Geographic Names Information System number rather than its name, so it cannot be a different place of the same name in another state.
| Wikipedia article on Uncertain | An encyclopaedic summary. Its text is share-alike, so it is linked here rather than copied. |
| Wikidata item Q969536 | The structured record the population and elevation above come from. Public domain (CC0). |
Provenance
This settlement is recorded in the Geographic Names Information System as feature 1349024. The sheet list is computed by point-in-boundary test against the United States Geological Survey's historical topographic inventory. Both are works of the United States government and carry no copyright under 17 U.S.C. 105.
Wildfire. Short, Karen C. 2022. Spatial wildfire occurrence data for the United States, 1992-2020 [FPA_FOD_20221014]. 6th Edition. Fort Collins, CO: Forest Service Research Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2013-0009.6 Collected with United States Government funding and usable without additional permissions or fees.
Storms. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/stormevents/ A work of the United States government, no copyright under 17 U.S.C. 105. Narratives are quoted verbatim from the National Weather Service report and are not edited or summarised.





